Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.056261 0.066607 0.078205 0.092155 0.108463 0.126908 0.149339
2025-04-27 0.040678 0.054091 0.070833 0.093193 0.122202 0.158484 0.207225
2025-05-04 0.031573 0.045950 0.065446 0.093663 0.133284 0.186736 0.264092
2025-05-11 0.025888 0.040613 0.061997 0.095060 0.144582 0.215623 0.324789
2025-05-18 0.022302 0.037339 0.060510 0.098428 0.158443 0.249144 0.395772
2025-05-25 0.018217 0.032397 0.055477 0.095267 0.161507 0.266480 0.444161
2025-06-01 0.015608 0.029324 0.052784 0.095181 0.169032 0.291141 0.506469
2025-06-08 0.013325 0.026364 0.049730 0.093859 0.174044 0.311946 0.564513
2025-06-15 0.011969 0.024832 0.048889 0.096189 0.185495 0.344656 0.646292
2025-06-22 0.010402 0.022607 0.046401 0.095045 0.190362 0.366169 0.710475
2025-06-29 0.008948 0.020342 0.043468 0.092562 0.192254 0.382281 0.766297
2025-07-06 0.007667 0.018211 0.040462 0.089449 0.192402 0.394940 0.816720
2025-07-13 0.006967 0.017257 0.039793 0.091154 0.202664 0.428674 0.912841
2025-07-20 0.006267 0.016181 0.038707 0.091823 0.210891 0.459368 1.006582
2025-07-27 0.005639 0.015160 0.037579 0.092220 0.218546 0.489687 1.102890
2025-08-03 0.005152 0.014397 0.036924 0.093583 0.228477 0.525829 1.215416
2025-08-10 0.004832 0.014007 0.037092 0.096899 0.243255 0.574005 1.359223
2025-08-17 0.004207 0.012683 0.034758 0.093786 0.242521 0.587657 1.427623
2025-08-24 0.003808 0.011910 0.033699 0.093700 0.249051 0.618468 1.538374
2025-08-31 0.003403 0.011042 0.032253 0.092398 0.252374 0.642117 1.634870
2025-09-07 0.003188 0.010697 0.032168 0.094693 0.265123 0.689556 1.793059
2025-09-14 0.002867 0.009967 0.030898 0.093566 0.268792 0.715224 1.900822
2025-09-21 0.002540 0.009149 0.029245 0.091120 0.268608 0.731242 1.986221